Surprise Weather in January (1981–2025)

📍 33.64°N, 112.39°W •
📊

January at a Glance in Surprise

(1981–2025)
Avg High
🔥
19.2°C
Avg Low
❄️
5.5°C
Avg Temp
🌡️
12.4°C
Avg Rain
🌧️
25 mm
Avg Humidity
💧
45%
Avg Wind
🌬️
2.1 m/s
Avg Solar
☀️
3.4
kWh/m²/day
vs Annual
📈
-10.5°C
temp difference
🌤️Mild afternoons❄️Cold mornings☁️Cloudier skies🌦️Some rain🍃Light winds🏜️Low humidity

Surprise January Weather Overview

January is one of the cooler months of the year in Surprise, with average highs near 19.2°C and lows around 5.5°C (mean 12.4°C). It is about average for rainfall, averaging 25 mm of rainfall and 45% relative humidity across the period.

Surprise January Temperature History (1981–2025)

Range

January is one of the cooler months of the year in Surprise. Across 45 years of records, the warmest January in Surprise was 2003 — when the month averaged 16.2°C — while the coldest was 2007 at 10.3°C. Typical January days reach 19.2°C with nights near 5.5°C. The long-term trend is warming, about 0.2°C per decade.

1981–1985 vs 2021–2025

Avg Temp12.0°C→12.3°C+0.3°C
Max Temp18.8°C→19.0°C+0.2°C
Min Temp5.2°C→5.6°C+0.4°C

Trend (per decade)

Avg Temp+0.2°C/decade ↗
Max Temp+0.2°C/decade ↗
Min Temp+0.3°C/decade ↗

Distribution of Avg Temp

10.0°C–11.8°C16 yr (36%)
11.8°C–13.5°C21 yr (47%)
13.5°C–15.3°C6 yr (13%)
15.3°C–17.0°C2 yr (4%)

Surprise January Rainfall History (1981–2025)

Range

January is about average for rainfall in Surprise, averaging 25 mm of rainfall. The wettest January on record was 1993 with 130 mm, while the driest were 2006, 2011 and 2014 at 0 mm.

Surprise January Humidity History (1981–2025)

Range

Relative humidity in Surprise during January averages 45%. The most humid January was 1993 at 73%, and the least humid was 2025 at 24%.

Surprise January Solar History (1981–2025)

Range

January receives about 3.4 kWh/m²/day of solar energy in Surprise. The sunniest January was 2006 at 3.8 kWh/m²/day, and the cloudiest was 1993 at 2.9.

Surprise January Wind History (1981–2025)

Range

Average wind speed in Surprise during January is 2.1 m/s. The windiest January was 1992 at 3 m/s, while the calmest was 1998 at 1.6 m/s.

What January Feels Like in Surprise

🌅
Cold
Morning
🌞
Mild
Afternoon
🌆
Cold
Evening
Rain chanceLow
Outdoor comfort★★★★☆

How January Ranks in Surprise

🥶2nd coolest month of the year
🌧️3rd wettest month of the year
☀️11th sunniest month of the year

Ranked against the other 11 months using 1981–2025 averages.

Explore Surprise Weather by Month

Surprise January Averages by Decade

Metric1980s1990s2000s2010s2020sChange
Avg Temp12.0°C11.9°C12.7°C12.9°C12.4°C+0.4°C
Avg High18.9°C18.7°C19.6°C19.7°C19.1°C+0.2°C
Avg Low5.0°C5.0°C5.8°C6.1°C5.6°C+0.6°C
Avg Rain22 mm35 mm20 mm29 mm16 mm-6 mm

Extreme January Records in Surprise

🔥Warmest January29.7°C2003
🧊Coldest January-5.5°C2007
🌧️Wettest January130 mm1993
🏜️Driest January0 mm2006
🌬️Windiest January3 m/s1992

Key Insights for January

✅

January temperatures in Surprise have risen by about 0.3°C between 1981–1985 and 2021–2025.

✅

January has ranged from a record low of -5.5°C (2007) to a record high of 29.7°C (2003).

✅

Rainfall in January is about average for rainfall, averaging 25 mm, with a wettest year of 130 mm.

Is January a Good Time to Visit Surprise?

A quieter season to visit Surprise

If your dates are flexible, the more temperate months of April and October tend to be the most comfortable for visiting Surprise. That said, January — with days averaging 19.2°C and nights around 5.5°C (mean 12.4°C) and low rainfall (25 mm) — can still be rewarding for travellers who don't mind the cooler conditions, and often means fewer crowds.

See Surprise's complete weather history All 12 months side by side, 1981–2025 records, annual trends and long-term averages in one place. View full history →

Surprise Weather in January — In Depth

☀️ January climate overview

January is one of the cooler months of the year in Surprise, with average highs near 19.2°C and lows around 5.5°C (mean 12.4°C). It is about average for rainfall, averaging 25 mm of rainfall and 45% relative humidity across the period.

🌧️ Rain, humidity & wind in January

January averages 25 mm of rainfall in Surprise, about average for rainfall compared with the rest of the year. The wettest January on record saw 130 mm (1993), and the driest just 0 mm (2006). Humidity sits around 45% and average wind speed is 2.1 m/s, with solar radiation averaging 3.4 kWh/m²/day.

📈 How January has changed

Comparing the earliest years on record (1981–1985) with the most recent (2021–2025), average January temperatures have risen by about 0.3°C. Daytime highs moved from 18.8°C to 19°C and overnight lows from 5.2°C to 5.6°C over the same span.
January Weather in Surprise, Year by Year
🔥 warmest❄️ coldest🌧️ wettest
YearAvg HighAvg TempAvg LowHottest DayColdest DayRainfallHumidityWindSolar
202519.5°C12.3°C5.2°C25.4°C-0.1°C1 mm24%2.1 m/s3.7
202418.0°C11.7°C5.4°C25.9°C-1.6°C24 mm49%1.7 m/s3.2
202317.1°C11.0°C5.0°C23.4°C0.0°C38 mm53%1.9 m/s3.3
202220.3°C13.3°C6.2°C22.6°C-0.9°C2 mm39%2 m/s3.7
202119.9°C13.1°C6.2°C28.3°C0.8°C26 mm37%2 m/s3.3
202019.9°C12.9°C5.8°C24.2°C1.9°C3 mm46%1.9 m/s3.6
201919.1°C12.6°C6.1°C23.3°C-2.4°C27 mm49%1.8 m/s3.4
201823.0°C15.9°C8.7°C27.9°C1.9°C12 mm30%2.2 m/s3.6
201717.8°C12.2°C6.5°C22.9°C-0.1°C38 mm56%2 m/s3
201618.4°C12.0°C5.5°C23.1°C1.4°C45 mm48%2.2 m/s3.4
201520.1°C13.7°C7.4°C26.6°C-1.4°C28 mm48%2 m/s3.2
201422.1°C14.5°C7.0°C25.3°C1.7°C0 mm35%1.9 m/s3.7
201317.5°C10.5°C3.5°C26.0°C-4.1°C42 mm42%2.1 m/s3.5
201221.0°C13.5°C6.0°C26.2°C2.1°C1 mm36%2.1 m/s3.5
201119.5°C12.0°C4.4°C25.3°C-5.1°C0 mm41%2.1 m/s3.7
201018.6°C12.4°C6.1°C22.4°C0.4°C97 mm49%2.3 m/s3.3
200920.8°C13.4°C5.9°C26.3°C0.6°C4 mm46%2.1 m/s3.7
200816.8°C10.4°C4.1°C21.6°C-1.5°C56 mm51%2.3 m/s3.3
2007 ❄️17.1°C10.3°C3.5°C24.5°C-5.5°C15 mm41%2.1 m/s3.3
200620.6°C13.2°C5.8°C26.4°C0.9°C0 mm26%2.1 m/s3.8
200518.9°C13.0°C7.1°C25.6°C0.9°C56 mm62%1.9 m/s3.1
200419.8°C13.1°C6.5°C26.0°C0.6°C10 mm43%2 m/s3.3
2003 🔥23.8°C16.2°C8.7°C29.7°C3.4°C11 mm40%2 m/s3.6
200219.1°C11.9°C4.8°C25.7°C-2.0°C4 mm34%2 m/s3.5
200117.3°C10.9°C4.5°C23.3°C0.0°C42 mm52%1.9 m/s3.3
200021.7°C14.2°C6.7°C27.8°C-0.1°C3 mm30%1.9 m/s3.4
199921.2°C13.4°C5.7°C24.5°C0.5°C3 mm32%2.1 m/s3.7
199819.2°C12.4°C5.5°C24.5°C1.1°C10 mm50%1.6 m/s3.4
199718.6°C12.1°C5.6°C25.9°C-1.1°C28 mm52%2.2 m/s3.3
199620.6°C12.9°C5.2°C26.8°C-0.7°C5 mm29%2 m/s3.4
199516.7°C10.8°C5.0°C21.7°C-0.5°C58 mm63%2 m/s3.1
199420.2°C12.4°C4.7°C25.0°C0.4°C2 mm39%2.1 m/s3.7
1993 🌧️17.0°C11.7°C6.4°C21.3°C-1.4°C130 mm73%2.3 m/s2.9
199217.1°C10.4°C3.6°C23.2°C-1.2°C65 mm58%3 m/s3.6
199118.3°C11.4°C4.4°C22.1°C-2.3°C19 mm49%1.9 m/s3.5
199018.5°C11.2°C3.8°C26.5°C-0.9°C30 mm46%2.1 m/s3.6
198918.0°C11.0°C4.0°C23.8°C-2.3°C46 mm47%2.4 m/s3.5
198817.8°C10.8°C3.8°C24.8°C-3.1°C26 mm51%2.3 m/s3.4
198717.9°C10.8°C3.7°C25.2°C-3.4°C20 mm45%2 m/s3.5
198622.6°C15.2°C7.7°C27.0°C2.4°C12 mm46%2.2 m/s3.5
198516.9°C10.4°C4.0°C21.1°C-2.8°C25 mm59%2.1 m/s3.4
198419.4°C12.4°C5.3°C25.2°C-1.8°C6 mm46%2.6 m/s3.4
198319.2°C12.2°C5.2°C24.5°C0.0°C25 mm54%2.2 m/s—
198217.9°C10.9°C3.8°C26.3°C-0.9°C20 mm49%2.1 m/s—
198120.6°C14.1°C7.6°C25.7°C0.8°C21 mm42%2.2 m/s—

Actual recorded January data for each year, 1981–2025 — sourced from NASA POWER.

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Surprise January Weather — FAQ

What is the average temperature in Surprise in January?▼

The average high in January is around 19.2°C with lows near 5.5°C (mean 12.4°C), based on 45 years of NASA POWER data.

Does it rain a lot in Surprise in January?▼

January averages 25 mm of rainfall in Surprise, about average for rainfall. The wettest on record was 130 mm in 1993.

What was the hottest January on record in Surprise?▼

The hottest January reached 29.7°C in 2003. The coldest dipped to -5.5°C in 2007.

Has January in Surprise gotten warmer over time?▼

Comparing the earliest years on record (1981–1985) with the most recent (2021–2025), average January temperatures have risen by about 0.3°C. Daytime highs moved from 18.8°C to 19°C and overnight lows from 5.2°C to 5.6°C over the same span.

Is January a good time to visit Surprise?▼

January is one of the cooler months of the year in Surprise and about average for rainfall, so plan for around 19.2°C daytime highs and 5.5°C at night.

Is January the coldest month in Surprise?▼

Not quite — January is the 2nd coolest month in Surprise, averaging 12.4°C.

What should I pack for Surprise in January?▼

For January in Surprise, pack warm layers and a jacket for chilly mornings, with typical highs of 19.2°C and lows of 5.5°C.

Is Surprise humid in January?▼

Relative humidity in January averages 45% — relatively dry.

How windy is Surprise in January?▼

Average wind speed in January is 2.1 m/s. The windiest January on record averaged 3 m/s (1992).

Which January had the most rainfall in Surprise?▼

The wettest January on record was 1993 with 130 mm. On average, January sees 25 mm.

Where does this January weather data come from?▼

All figures are derived from NASA POWER (Prediction Of Worldwide Energy Resources), based on MERRA-2 satellite reanalysis, covering 1981–2025.

Other Arizona cities

Explore how the weather in Surprise behaves each January, based on 45 years of NASA POWER climate data from 1981 to 2025. This page breaks down average temperatures, rainfall, humidity, wind and solar radiation for January specifically, along with year-by-year records and how the month has changed over the decades.